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Property Market Propels Forward Despite Lockdown 2

Confused over what Lockdown 2 means for the property market in England? We’re not surprised. But, the good news is – it’s still ‘open for business’ – albeit with strict social distancing rules in mind.

According to Secretary of State for Housing Robert Jenrick, viewings and valuations can still take place when Lockdown 2 kicks in on Thursday, November 5. At the same time, house moves with hire vans and removal firms and can also go ahead, so long as all parties involved wear masks. This includes renters as well as property owners.

Rush to beat stamp duty deadline

This means that buyers keen to save thousands by getting the keys to their new home before the end of March 31, will still be in with a chance since surveyors and conveyancers will still be working (albeit from home). Many are speculating too that because of Lockdown 2 the Stamp Duty Holiday may be extended. 

It’s not yet known, however, whether those who already have most of the sale in progress can still go ahead with completion or have to wait until December 2 when Lockdown 2 is due to end. During the last lockdown they were advised to put it on hold until the market opened again. A ruling over this is expected from the government later this week.

It may simply be academic though since its unlikely completions would go ahead within a reasonable timescale anyway. This week, a Rightmove report shows a huge backlog of UK property completions. In Glasgow, 71% of sold properties still have to be completed. Sheffield is next highest with 67% of sold properties waiting to complete. Bristol, Plymouth, Leeds and Nottingham also have big backlogs, according to the number of properties sold on the site.

Physical viewings may still be available

Similarly, we will hear in the next couple of days whether or not estate agents will be able to conduct physical viewings with prospective buyers (otherwise, legally an offer can’t be put in). Just like the first lockdown though, most viewings will be virtual. If it’s allowed then a physical viewing will be merely for ‘finalising’ a prospective buyer’s decision.

Many agents are using their smart phones to talk potential buyers through a property using video, similar to them being there in person. Others have 3D cameras, allowing viewers to conduct their own online tour through a property.

New property continues to be built

There will be no change to the construction industry. Employees can still go on site, builders’ merchants will remain open and tradesmen can enter homes. Jenrick confirmed this week that the government’s plan to build 300,000 homes a year was still “very much on.”

Mortgage holiday extended

House owners who haven’t applied previously for a mortgage holiday from their lender can now do so, for up to six months. Those who have already deferred can continue until they reach the six-month limit. Interest will still accrue over this time.

Landlords given blanket eviction ban over Christmas

Tenants can’t lose their rental property over the Christmas season from December 11 to January 11. At present they must be given six months notice of an eviction – unless particular circumstances prevail ie anti-social behaviour, domestic abuse etc. Tenants living in high-risk coronavirus locations ie those in Tier 2 and Tier 3 can’t be evicted at the moment.

Airbnb Gives Landlord Details to HMRC

It was only ever going to be a matter of time before the taxman got his claws into Airbnb. After all, eBay sellers have been on his radar for years. Well, now it’s time for professional and ad hoc Airbnb hosts to cough up too. 

That’s because, as part of a deal with the online letting giant, the UK Treasury was given the names of 225,000 Airbnb hosts. The company itself was also forced to hand over £1.8m in tax fees. That’s in addition to the £5.6m it declared as tax for 2019. 

Many Airbnb landlords won’t have to pay tax

Not all Airbnb hosts will be due to pay tax on their earnings. Some may fall within the Rent a Room category, for instance, and where it’s possible to earn up to £7,500 without having to be pay tax. Airbnb itself says the majority of its users earn around just £3,100 a year.

For those that may exceed the threshold, HMRC say they will go back at least a couple of years. That means looking through the records for the tax years 2017-18 and 2018-2019.  

Many tax analysts are recommending hosts eligible for tax ‘own up now.’ That way they could avoid further fees, such as interest and penalties for late payment since HMRC may possibly take this ‘quick rectification’ into account.

HMRC can investigate up to two decades of accounts

HMRC can, in fact, investigate tan individual’s tax/business accounts for the past four years if it believes an ‘innocent error’ was made. For a ‘careless’ declaration’ it will go back six years. For international affairs it can be 12 years for an ‘innocent mistake’ and 20 years for ‘failure to notify.’ Deliberate acts of underpayment can result in criminal action being taken.

A spokesman for HMRC said: “People with additional income streams may not be fully aware of their tax obligations and so we have taken steps in HMRC to consider sectors, such as short-term property letting, where we may not be collecting the full amount of tax owed.”

He added: “We would encourage customers to check their tax affairs, seeking advice where necessary, in order to put right any honest mistakes or omissions.” 

Airbnb landlords may be charged business rates

Those that don’t have to pay tax on their Airbnb earnings may have to look out for being charged Business Rates, however. These apply in England, Scotland and Wales if property is rented out for at least 140 days a year. These are based on number of beds available and overall size of the property, as well as its location. 

Other exemptions for Airbnb tax include:

  • Rental income for the year is less than £1000
  • Total income for the year – including employment – falling below the Personal Allowance (£12,500 for 2020/21)

Airbnb and other ad hoc landlords not familiar with the tax structure of property are always advised to contact an accountant specialising in the subject for further clarification. 

Property Market Continues to Smash Records

UK House prices hit a record high last month as the move by inner city dwellers to get to greener pastures continues.

Property portal Rightmove’s latest House Price Index recorded a national average asking price of £323,530 per property. That’s a 5.5% increase (£16,818) on the figure for the same time last year.

The stunning statistics, considering the current circumstances surrounding the coronavirus pandemic, has prompted Rightmove forecasters to predict a 7% rise in property values for 2020. They had previously put the figure at 2%.

A number of property records ‘smashed’

But it’s not just property prices that are ‘up’ – the number of properties sold per estate agent is also impressive. To the extent that last month 70% more houses sold than in September 2019.

And property is selling faster too. The average house or apartment is now taking just 50 days to swap hands – compared to 62 days.

It doesn’t look as if the situation is going to quieten down any time soon either, despite the run-up to the winter months. The number of active buyers compared to last year is down only 1% to 66% from its peak in July of 67%.

Even Rightmove are declaring records of their own for the portal – with a huge surge in traffic. They say the number of online visitors to their site was 50% higher than September last year. That’s the highest annual jump since way back in 2006.

But, Property Data Director of Rightmove Tim Bannister warned house sellers not to get too carried away with their asking price. That’s because the sheer volume of house sales has created a backlog and that may mean many transactions not going through before the end of the Stamp Duty Holiday deadline. As a result, some sales may fall through as buyers, losing thousands of pounds, may refuse to pay the higher property prices being asked.

The number of buyers potentially trapped in this property bottleneck could be as high as 200,000 according to online property consultancy TwentyCi.

Bannister added: “Whilst activity levels continue to amaze there are some signs of momentum easing off from these unprecedented levels.”

Estate agents say low mortgage interest rates has also helped fuel demand – to the extent there are currently more buyers than sellers.

Most sales have taken place in what Rightmove refers to as ‘top of the ladder’ properties. These are homes worth more than £500,000 with a minimum three to four bedrooms and where buyers will benefit from up to £15,000 in Stamp Duty savings.

Upmarket estate agency Savills say sales for around 868 properties worth £1 million upwards, have gone through on a weekly basis since June 1. These are mostly for rural areas, with the Cotswolds recording a 94% increase in sales since June this year.

London though is losing out on interest from foreign buyers. Interest in the city centre and other expensive areas has fallen since travel restrictions were introduced during the summer months. And yet, the capital has sold 4% more upmarket properties than at this point the previous year.

Property rose by 5% in September says Nationwide

Another month in the property market and another house price index citing further property rises… but for how much longer?

Nationwide is the latest lender to record impressive figures. UK Property, according to the building society’s survey, rose by 5% in September compared with the previous year. That’s the highest for four years. Only last month the Halifax recorded the cost of the average property at more than £245,000.

Nationwide’s monthly rise was 0.9% from August – and it’s pretty much throughout the UK. Only the London market remained subdued.

The house price rise for the year as a whole is expected to be around 2% – that’s according to a specialist survey published by news agency Reuters this month.

Some property analysts are warning caution though saying this month’s rise was likely to be the highest this year. That’s because the furlough scheme ends next month and, although it will be replaced with the Job Retention Scheme, the latter isn’t as generous. The result is likely to be large-scale unemployment, according to economists.

Still, low interest rates and the Stamp Duty holiday for buyers of properties of up to £500,000 in England will keep house hunters keen. At least until the first few months of next year. The scheme is due to finish at the end of March 2021.

The signs of a slowing market are already there though. Visitor numbers to property portals are reducing. The three biggest UK property for sale sites all saw a fall of 5% in visitor numbers in September compared to August, according to consultants Pantheon Macroeconomics. 

Mortgage approvals highest for more than a decade

It was good news for mortgage approvals last month too. More mortgages were granted to UK buyers than in 13 years. A total of 84,700 went through in August. That compares to 66,300 in July. However, despite the big monthly jump, there are still fewer mortgage approvals this year than in 2019 at this rate (418,000 compared to 524,000 last year).

But is it only the wealthy who are buying? Figures revealed by the BoE seems to imply this. Consumer credit, for instance, didn’t rise very much – by £0.3bn when the prediction was for a rise of £1.5bn. 

And certainly, first time buyers are taking the brunt of lenders’ reluctance to offer high loan to value deals (ie 80% and 85% mortgages).

Property market not as badly hit as predicted?

The upshot is that with home ownership having narrowed to those wealthier sectors of the population, the property market may not be as badly affected as many people fear come the end of the furlough scheme. That’s because they are less likely to be impacted by job losses.

Of those home owners who have already lost their jobs and moved on to University Credit, half of them have continued to pay their mortgages. The other 50% opted for the government’s Mortgage Holiday Scheme, which is due to end at the end of October, along with the current furlough scheme.

Buyers told to ‘Hurry Up’ or miss out on holiday

Potential house buyers keen to take advantage of the Chancellor’s Stamp Duty holiday better ‘get their skates on’, according to one property regulatory body.

That’s because a lack of conveyancers due to furloughing and lockdown measures is causing completion delays, says estate agent overseer NAEA Propertymark. And, nor are backlogs in mortgage applications helping (for similar poor staffing reasons). The upshot is that it could take far longer than three months to buy and sell a property.

As a result, those looking to move and save thousands of pounds in Stamp Duty costs, should start viewing by the beginning of October at the very latest. Rishi Sunak’s Stamp Duty ‘holiday’ where buyers pay no Stamp Duty on property valued at up to £500,000, is due to come to an end on March 31, 2021.

Back in July – just weeks after lockdown ended – estate agents in England were selling an average of 13 properties per month. That was the largest number of sales recorded by NAEA Propertymark since June 2007.

Homes in Yorkshire top year-on-year values

Meanwhile, the exodus from busy London continues, with many residents fleeing the capital for bigger homes in quieter towns and villages. One region that is benefitting hugely from the city to country switch is Yorkshire. Property prices here grew 8.8% cent between September this year and last, bringing the value of the average house to £220,099. That’s according to property analysis site, Home.co.uk. From July to August the jump in property values in Yorkshire of 0.9% was twice the UK national average.

The neighbouring North West region has also done well in the property stakes over the past 12 months, where homeowners say the value of their property jump by 7.4%. But homeowners in the North East haven’t exactly been feeling left out either, with an increase of 4.9%. The monthly growth for here was even better than Yorkshire, with house price increases of 1.1%.

Property in the south under-performing

Further south though it is a different picture. And it isn’t just homeowners in London that are seeing price falls. The South West, South East and the East of England are all experiencing property growth below the national average. In Greater London supply of properties has grown exponentially by 71% over the past 12 months. In the East of England region housing supply is up by 34%. In Yorkshire the supply figure was a mere 9%.

A spokesman for Home.co.uk added Scotland into the mix of good-performing regions ‘up north.’ In fact, from Yorkshire upwards the price of housing was the best yet since the financial crisis of 2008.

He added: “It is quite remarkable that, after nearly a decade of price stagnation, the North East property market finally takes off post pandemic… [the aforementioned regions’] performance is compensating for the lacklustre activity in London and adjacent regions.”

Not everything in the garden is rosy… But, with the prospect of a No Deal Brexit, furloughing finishing and the end of the Stamp Duty holiday in March next year, house prices will plummet say property analysts. Think tank, The Centre for Economic and Business Research, reckon it could be by as much as 13.8%.

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